The cost of a cold home: what Britain's least efficient homes cost to heat, by band, age and area
Every Energy Performance Certificate carries a modelled annual heating cost. Across 23.4 million of them, the gap between the best and worst homes is stark. A band G home is modelled to cost £2,892 a year to heat. A band C costs £529. Behind the average sits a clear pattern of age and geography.
What an inefficient home costs to run
An energy rating is usually discussed as a letter. The more useful number sits next to it on every certificate: the modelled cost of heating the home for a year. It is a standardised estimate, based on a typical heating pattern, but it lets us compare 23.4 million homes on the same basis.
Ranked by band, the cost rises at every step. A well-rated band B home is modelled at £297 a year. A band C costs £529. From there the curve steepens. A band D costs £813, an E £1,191, an F £1,777, and a band G £2,892. The difference between the middle of the scale and the bottom is not a few pounds. It is thousands of pounds a year, every year.
The age effect
The single clearest predictor of running cost is when the home was built. The older the stock, the higher the bill, and the relationship is almost perfectly ordered.
| Built | Certificates | Heating cost | Below band C |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 1900 | 2,050,017 | £1,252 | 85% |
| 1900-1929 | 3,173,799 | £964 | 79% |
| 1930-1949 | 2,803,698 | £881 | 74% |
| 1950-1966 | 3,650,330 | £766 | 62% |
| 1967-1975 | 2,497,096 | £735 | 60% |
| 1983-1990 | 1,295,958 | £615 | 45% |
| 2003-2006 | 751,763 | £455 | 10% |
| 2007-2011 | 489,236 | £409 | 6% |
| 2020 | 227,717 | £294 | 5% |
A home built before 1900 costs a modelled £1,252 a year to heat, and 85% of these homes fall below band C. A home built in 2020 costs £294. The pre-1900 home costs more than four times as much to keep warm. Solid walls, single glazing where it survives, high ceilings and leaky fabric all add up. This is the structural reason the green premium and the cost of heating both track so closely to the age of the housing stock.
The geography of a cold home
Running cost also varies by region, and the pattern is the inverse of the price map. The cheapest places to buy are often the most expensive to heat. Wales and Yorkshire top the regional table, while London is cheapest, held down by its smaller homes and large flat stock.
| Region | Median heating cost | Below band C |
|---|---|---|
| Wales | £845 | 58.7% |
| Yorkshire and the Humber | £838 | 59.3% |
| East Midlands | £784 | 54.8% |
| West Midlands | £780 | 56.7% |
| North East | £779 | 53.0% |
| North West | £774 | 55.0% |
| South West | £771 | 54.1% |
| East of England | £735 | 51.2% |
| South East | £718 | 50.6% |
| London | £593 | 48.0% |
| Rank | Constituency | Modelled heating cost |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westmorland and Lonsdale | £1,227 |
| 2 | Dwyfor Meirionnydd | £1,226 |
| 3 | Hexham | £1,223 |
| 4 | Ceredigion Preseli | £1,208 |
| 5 | South Shropshire | £1,165 |
| 6 | Caerfyrddin | £1,164 |
| 7 | Penrith and Solway | £1,164 |
| 8 | Skipton and Ripon | £1,146 |
| 9 | Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | £1,105 |
| 10 | Richmond and Northallerton | £1,096 |
| 11 | Thirsk and Malton | £1,084 |
| 12 | North Herefordshire | £1,083 |
The most expensive places to heat are rural, often off the gas grid, and full of older and larger homes. Westmorland and Lonsdale, Dwyfor Meirionnydd and Hexham combine all three factors. A larger stone-built home heated by oil in the Lakes or rural Wales is close to the worst case for running cost. We mapped the off-grid heating pattern in detail in our home heating study.
What this means
For buyers, the heating cost is the bill behind the band. A cheap older home can carry a heating cost that erases the saving on the purchase price within a few years. Read the modelled cost on the certificate, not just the letter.
For sellers, an efficient home now has a number worth quoting. The running-cost gap is a concrete figure that lands with buyers facing high energy prices.
Before buying any home, it is worth pulling its EPC rating, heating cost and the rest of its record. We also looked at how efficiency feeds through to sale price in our green premium study.
Methodology and caveats
Source data: the Energy Performance Certificate register for England and Wales, 23.4 million domestic certificates lodged between 2012 and mid-2026. The heating cost is the certificate's own modelled current annual figure.
The cost is modelled, not metered. It assumes a standard occupancy and heating pattern, so it is a like-for-like comparison rather than a prediction of any single household's bill. The unit prices baked into a certificate reflect the assumptions at its assessment date, so older certificates carry older price assumptions. Treat the figures as a consistent way to rank homes, not as a current energy bill.
Coverage: a certificate exists only for homes sold, let or built since 2008, roughly 60% of the stock. Long-held older homes are under-represented, which if anything understates the true cost of heating the worst stock. All figures are medians except the regional and constituency averages, which use the mean modelled cost.
Frequently asked questions
The modelled annual heating cost for a band G home is about £2,892, against £529 for a band C. The cost rises at every step down the scale.
Yes. Homes built before 1900 are modelled at £1,252 a year, more than four times the £294 for a home built in 2020. Age is one of the strongest predictors of running cost.
Westmorland and Lonsdale, at a modelled £1,227 a year, followed by Dwyfor Meirionnydd and Hexham. The most expensive areas are rural, often off the gas grid, with older and larger homes.
No. They are the standardised modelled costs from each certificate, based on a typical heating pattern. They are designed for comparing homes on the same basis, not for predicting a specific household's bill.
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Published 20 July 2026 by Move Insights Research. All research.